AgenticVietnam CPI / Inflation Rate YoY YTD
Prices · Monthly series · EC-VN-IRYY
Latest, October 2026
4.6%
+0.06pp from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 4.6%, with an 80% interval of 2.8% to 7.3%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% |
| December 2026 | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% |
| January 2027 | 4.7% | 0.5% | 10.7% |
| February 2027 | 4.8% | 2.1% | 8.3% |
| March 2027 | 4.7% | 2.7% | 7.5% |
| April 2027 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 8.7% |
| May 2027 | 4.7% | 2.5% | 7.7% |
| June 2027 | 4.7% | 2.7% | 7.3% |
| July 2027 | 4.6% | 3.0% | 7.0% |
| August 2027 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.8% |
| September 2027 | 4.6% | 2.9% | 7.1% |
| October 2027 | 4.6% | 2.8% | 7.3% |
AI confidence
Supported evidenceThe point forecast beat the no-change baseline overall and in a majority of the evaluated tests.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- +17%Beats the no-change baseline over 12 tests (12 tests, 9 won)
- Direction
- 77%No clear edge over a coin flip (111 of 144 calls right in 12 tests)
- Turning points
- 4 of 27Anticipated some turns (27 turns in 12 tests, 0 without a turn)
- Error vs baseline
- 17% lowerError ratio 0.83; 1.00 is a tie.
- Tests won
- 9 / 12Complete rolling backtests; ties count as no win.
- Test period
- 2014-11-01 to 2026-10-0112 observations ahead per test.
- 80% band coverage
- 78%Observed outcomes inside the band across all stored test windows.
- Band coverage uses all stored test windows, including model-selection windows when present; it does not determine the confidence label.
- Evaluated 2026-11-13 against the cached history through 2026-10-01.
- This is an evaluation of the serving model; it does not establish a winner across four model classes.
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4.6% |
| September 2026 | 4.5% |
| August 2026 | 4.4% |
| July 2026 | 4.4% |
| June 2026 | 4.4% |
| May 2026 | 4.3% |
| April 2026 | 4.0% |
| March 2026 | 3.5% |
| February 2026 | 2.9% |
| January 2026 | 2.5% |
| December 2025 | 3.3% |
| November 2025 | 3.3% |
| October 2025 | 3.3% |
| September 2025 | 3.3% |
| August 2025 | 3.3% |
| July 2025 | 3.3% |
| June 2025 | 3.3% |
| May 2025 | 3.2% |
| April 2025 | 3.2% |
| March 2025 | 3.2% |
| February 2025 | 3.3% |
| January 2025 | 3.6% |
| December 2024 | 3.6% |
| November 2024 | 3.7% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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