Vietnam GDP Growth YoY
Output & Demand · Quarterly series · EC-VN-GDPYY
Latest, Q3 2026
9.9%
+1.14pp from Q2 2026
Forecast
Forecast for Q3 2027: 9.4%, with an 80% interval of 6.6% to 11.9%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2026 | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% |
| Q1 2027 | 8.9% | 6.7% | 10.9% |
| Q2 2027 | 9.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% |
| Q3 2027 | 9.4% | 6.6% | 11.9% |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.9% |
| Q2 2026 | 8.8% |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | 8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | 8.2% |
| Q2 2025 | 8.2% |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5% |
| Q3 2024 | 7.4% |
| Q2 2024 | 7.1% |
| Q1 2024 | 5.9% |
| Q4 2023 | 6.7% |
| Q3 2023 | 5.5% |
| Q2 2023 | 4.2% |
| Q1 2023 | 3.4% |
| Q4 2022 | 5.9% |
| Q3 2022 | 13.7% |
| Q2 2022 | 7.8% |
| Q1 2022 | 5.0% |
| Q4 2021 | 5.2% |
| Q3 2021 | -6.0% |
| Q2 2021 | 6.7% |
| Q1 2021 | 4.7% |
| Q4 2020 | 4.5% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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