Vietnam Retail Sales YoY YTD
Output & Demand · Monthly series · EC-VN-RSYY
Latest, October 2026
12.7%
+0.22pp from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 13.0%, with an 80% interval of 6.1% to 19.8%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| December 2026 | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| January 2027 | 13.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% |
| February 2027 | 13.1% | 10.2% | 15.4% |
| March 2027 | 13.0% | 9.3% | 16.0% |
| April 2027 | 13.0% | 8.5% | 16.7% |
| May 2027 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 17.3% |
| June 2027 | 12.9% | 7.3% | 17.8% |
| July 2027 | 12.9% | 6.9% | 18.4% |
| August 2027 | 12.9% | 6.7% | 18.8% |
| September 2027 | 13.0% | 6.3% | 19.4% |
| October 2027 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 19.8% |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 12.7% |
| September 2026 | 12.5% |
| August 2026 | 12.2% |
| July 2026 | 11.9% |
| June 2026 | 11.4% |
| May 2026 | 10.8% |
| April 2026 | 10.5% |
| March 2026 | 10.0% |
| February 2026 | 8.9% |
| January 2026 | 9.3% |
| December 2025 | 9.5% |
| November 2025 | 9.5% |
| October 2025 | 9.8% |
| September 2025 | 10.0% |
| August 2025 | 9.9% |
| July 2025 | 9.8% |
| June 2025 | 9.9% |
| May 2025 | 10.2% |
| April 2025 | 10.2% |
| March 2025 | 9.9% |
| February 2025 | 9.4% |
| January 2025 | 9.5% |
| December 2024 | 8.6% |
| November 2024 | 8.6% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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