Vietnam Industrial Production YoY YTD
Output & Demand · Monthly series · EC-VN-IPYY
Latest, October 2026
12.0%
+0.33pp from September 2026
Forecast
Forecast for October 2027: 8.9%, with an 80% interval of 2.1% to 13.9%.
| Period | Forecast | 80% low | 80% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| December 2026 | 12.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% |
| January 2027 | 12.1% | 2.7% | 15.5% |
| February 2027 | 13.3% | 2.9% | 19.3% |
| March 2027 | 9.9% | -0.7% | 17.4% |
| April 2027 | 11.3% | 1.0% | 19.0% |
| May 2027 | 10.6% | 0.3% | 19.4% |
| June 2027 | 9.8% | 2.3% | 15.4% |
| July 2027 | 9.3% | 2.4% | 13.8% |
| August 2027 | 9.2% | 2.6% | 14.1% |
| September 2027 | 9.0% | 1.5% | 14.9% |
| October 2027 | 8.9% | 2.1% | 13.9% |
AI confidence
Not evaluatedThe serving model has no matching evaluation yet.
Model: Agentic Investor TSFM (foundation model)
- Accuracy vs naive
- n/aNot evaluated
- Direction
- n/aNot evaluated
- Turning points
- n/aNot evaluated
How this assessment is made
AI confidence describes historical evidence for this forecast, not a probability of being correct. Each backtest fits on data available before its test window. The baseline carries the last value forward. Supported evidence requires at least six complete, non-overlapping tests, an error ratio below 0.90 (rounded to two decimals), and wins in a majority of tests. Ratios from 0.90 to below 1.10 are on par; 1.10 or above is weak evidence. Inconsistent wins produce mixed evidence. For a selected model, only the recent tests excluded from model selection determine this label. These are historical simulations using the available data, not a live trading track record; revisions and foundation-model pretraining can limit how closely they reproduce a past decision. Past performance can change.
Recent history (24 observations)
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| October 2026 | 12.0% |
| September 2026 | 11.7% |
| August 2026 | 11.1% |
| July 2026 | 10.6% |
| June 2026 | 9.9% |
| May 2026 | 9.3% |
| April 2026 | 9.1% |
| March 2026 | 9.1% |
| February 2026 | 10.0% |
| January 2026 | 19.4% |
| December 2025 | 9.3% |
| November 2025 | 9.3% |
| October 2025 | 9.3% |
| September 2025 | 9.2% |
| August 2025 | 8.7% |
| July 2025 | 8.7% |
| June 2025 | 9.0% |
| May 2025 | 9.1% |
| April 2025 | 9.0% |
| March 2025 | 8.8% |
| February 2025 | 8.3% |
| January 2025 | -1.0% |
| December 2024 | 8.1% |
| November 2024 | 8.1% |
Source
Data: public market data feeds.
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